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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20726

Hai Phong VS Than Quang Ninh

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.44%
Draw
24.47%
Away
31.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7322
Log loss
1.1683

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
3918e158425f7a0f1b144974367e1ad193947be18f76dcd519ac392b54e2a4b2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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