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Frozen pre-match forecast · #207230

Ashdod VS Bnei Yehuda

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.32%
Draw
26.59%
Away
35.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5743
Log loss
0.9592

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
573a15c550979a718eefef834627729cd52f946a037a4f79f5fa7c0f3e0c4b46

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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