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Frozen pre-match forecast · #207226

Hapoel Ra'anana VS Kiryat Yam SC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.85%
Draw
24.83%
Away
35.32%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5482
Log loss
0.9200

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
28a0def0d7a27837a26841812e942a3d4d2f03bb02c9d235fb311a8ab4e58e21

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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