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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20716

BC Rangers VS Eastern

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.44%
Draw
20.94%
Away
57.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9930
Log loss
1.5399

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
66dc4c14ff5bfed1170d68bf04dec3f82d61844c6592867677d646b3f53ea1a7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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