Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #206969

Al Khaleej Saihat VS Al-Hazm

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 14:35 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.32%
Draw
26.21%
Away
29.46%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4655
Log loss
0.8136

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
d38c4ac2045698ec37d8b0c8a598020ec99f572e10d274e44a5b32de278dda21

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →