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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20696

Laholm VS Kristianstad

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.13%
Draw
23.69%
Away
28.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.8036
Log loss
1.2666

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
f9dfdcbe9bea209ac01a5f1bbca803fbdd310cecab90a03b860eaebb03c7213a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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