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Frozen pre-match forecast · #206933

Pamba Jiji VS Singida Black Stars

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.15%
Draw
26.21%
Away
41.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5126
Log loss
0.8761

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
cd007c2219b9abc5368ca4953e2a9295cc676e77472dc063f98424951c6bc510

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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