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Frozen pre-match forecast · #206718

Dobrovce VS Rače

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.68%
Draw
24.30%
Away
48.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8803
Log loss
1.4147

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
de1fa64065a25befc43d59ba77001fb2b9f2c697a0ab623c3cdbb6e51bbae3e3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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