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Frozen pre-match forecast · #206673

Wacker Innsbruck VS WSG Wattens

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.57%
Draw
26.51%
Away
43.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8204
Log loss
1.3276

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
461fa766c141f5bf8830c4a14212baf467d67e47404c9909df34a15fb20cd1d6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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