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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20663

Cerdanyola del Vallès VS L'Escala

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.46%
Draw
35.75%
Away
34.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7464
Log loss
1.2220

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
37f7a028aaa91cf1651318e57951b84d484863ed905433bcbcf8e2e56612e7c5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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