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Frozen pre-match forecast · #206531

Korabi Peshkopi VS Burreli

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.12%
Draw
27.87%
Away
24.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4044
Log loss
0.7314

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
826e087fdee489791689a69699b1c538fb4be72ccef4aa1351842c68ee898d58

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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