Frozen pre-match forecast · #206471
Karlsruhe II VS FC Nöttingen
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 28 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 03 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 35.01%
- Draw
- 21.69%
- Away
- 43.30%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.6569
- Log loss
- 1.0495
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 28 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
- SHA-256
- 230dd159cbcb700a1d35d8bde7151535c5ce3bfe75617a83feaba48ed1ba80e2
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.