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Frozen pre-match forecast · #206447

Andranik VS Bentonit Ijevan

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.89%
Draw
16.70%
Away
13.41%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.2661
Log loss
2.0092

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
8d3b41c4f48caf938035af52dee4a16cfc679a2809749159251947fe3fb82905

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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