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Frozen pre-match forecast · #206435

CR Belouizdad VS JS Saoura

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.04%
Draw
24.38%
Away
14.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2325
Log loss
0.4936

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
236d4078447d7875d83d89731b7a50c0313c259f9e4f74e8c7942a0cd19c56ea

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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