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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20643

Gimnástica Torrelavega VS Bergantiños

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.95%
Draw
37.86%
Away
25.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.8395
Log loss
1.3787

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
6ac54ee9f041f02b9a13b482786a555686e15057616c158cc4e9f610d35577e3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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