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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20637

Stal Stalowa Wola VS Resovia Rzeszów

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.20%
Draw
38.08%
Away
24.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6005
Log loss
0.9889

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
5ba07be4fa065dd90cd910e04aa64816f9f7a30f982bfc5180e394a8740cc1fe

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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