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Frozen pre-match forecast · #206352

Belgrano Cordoba VS Barracas Central

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 21:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.85%
Draw
28.35%
Away
19.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8214
Log loss
1.2606

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
9cf1b1196f1e90d4ffd235524bcb401c0035a150bc840a1531119b149892691d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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