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Frozen pre-match forecast · #206347

Mjallby AIF VS Kalmar FF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.25%
Draw
27.59%
Away
35.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7867
Log loss
1.2877

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
dd7ee40aea41a78b1fb92cb0391cb9e2faf0011b381000a77bd24fc0f35bf30b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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