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Frozen pre-match forecast · #206342

BK Hacken VS IFK Goteborg

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.67%
Draw
22.31%
Away
25.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3364
Log loss
0.6411

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
2701183f9e99ee4c39514bfb2eca0f5dfd02e2b97daabca1edf6ccf1fe2e78be

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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