Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #206186

Wacker Innsbruck VS WSG Wattens

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 13:02 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.57%
Draw
26.51%
Away
43.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8204
Log loss
1.3276

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 13:02 UTC
SHA-256
b83f99627519b50f7b1c9f8a8f44eb125709b9a41142a13fabc9cfd62985bca4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →