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Frozen pre-match forecast · #206166

Omonia Aradippou VS Digenis Morphou

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 13:01 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.02%
Draw
20.43%
Away
14.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.1853
Log loss
0.4305

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 13:01 UTC
SHA-256
928769d6bdc927a1ebc3955fc3144dc1424520a797cb6a6494f87d5f36db12f5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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