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Frozen pre-match forecast · #206107

Al Hala VS Al Ittihad

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.27%
Draw
19.23%
Away
17.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2025
Log loss
0.4578

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
5597777ff4615513ab3933196b0425fd0c003203a6413f0b5bc12bf22a2ad224

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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