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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20610

Vasas II VS Csepel

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.51%
Draw
19.07%
Away
33.43%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4237
Log loss
0.7443

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
11451619b167c4f49ac1dcbc04176d8b038cc87e154b122ddc7ff34e2daa0baf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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