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Frozen pre-match forecast · #205924

Stade Gabesien VS Korba

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.88%
Draw
30.62%
Away
26.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7355
Log loss
1.1836

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
292087d1202bd39b5ed38a153bd03cbbb03525ae3aabaa9056dbf15807c5015a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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