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Frozen pre-match forecast · #205915

CODM Meknès VS FAR Rabat

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.78%
Draw
29.41%
Away
41.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7559
Log loss
1.2238

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
4b8a35d1347f9db9dd510aa4c7e198f5a03a72d7c6505cdfd7bec087f0cd7bda

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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