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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20589

Trenčín II VS Veľké Ludince

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.11%
Draw
21.24%
Away
23.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3026
Log loss
0.5958

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
962c472fac2c604e6f97007fbcc831df1c43524e04bbb0fde96558c5b64665c7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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