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Frozen pre-match forecast · #205820

Osters IF VS Helsingborg

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.33%
Draw
22.06%
Away
21.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2860
Log loss
0.5738

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
32d3cd8f9f9bce32d9f739e897d3485e50f76ddb777a114410146dc125300c3b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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