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Frozen pre-match forecast · #205810

Malmö FF W VS Norrköping W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
84.18%
Draw
11.45%
Away
4.36%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.4948
Log loss
2.1671

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
92d8877d5d4ffe3f45a50f4b62ca00261f5b8f2505c2e8938ac8019ba84909bd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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