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Frozen pre-match forecast · #205805

Inter Turku VS Gnistan

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.11%
Draw
22.70%
Away
17.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.2402
Log loss
0.5090

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
f1db1612236b8ffbb374ffe0554cc81214bde65b76f80caf0ee79a0280c0e011

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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