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Frozen pre-match forecast · #205775

Hetten FC VS Al Gottah

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 12:35 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.36%
Draw
23.16%
Away
24.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.8981
Log loss
1.4073

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
829c8841c595b07db3bae5105ed3da31305b64b55c4176939b07478bd0e4315b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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