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Frozen pre-match forecast · #205756

Los Angeles FC VS Minnesota United FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 01:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.97%
Draw
23.63%
Away
23.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9232
Log loss
1.4524

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
de74317b41224be3ff40de1778bf0162ecd6cc79297807982d4d3eb1ece4c3f8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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