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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20575

Southern District VS Eastern District

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 08:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.41%
Draw
24.01%
Away
24.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3542
Log loss
0.6653

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
583c952904edef71b41dc9ad94ec663a9dde56ee941e1cc639ef419aa97ebe7e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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