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Frozen pre-match forecast · #205695

Deportivo San Pedro VS Municipal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.95%
Draw
29.11%
Away
34.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6171
Log loss
1.0230

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
5805f56a595b6f3ab98d9114e5474577d77b81366b110453cea1af6d065ff042

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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