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Frozen pre-match forecast · #205673

Extremadura 1924 VS Unionistas de Salamanca

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.15%
Draw
23.20%
Away
19.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2760
Log loss
0.5595

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
a029c757c817159405b00e4e7d5781c0e974914185651a9fc735e0cdeecc5d5c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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