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Frozen pre-match forecast · #205662

Londrina VS America Mineiro

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.98%
Draw
24.49%
Away
18.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.0484
Log loss
1.6858

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
0eda2f21d94fc00f38674afc541a7fb1fda59b979f281afafc1e2c58ce08b2e5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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