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Frozen pre-match forecast · #205632

Zamora VS Deportivo La Coruña II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.04%
Draw
23.59%
Away
15.36%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.1447
Log loss
1.8733

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
98d086fa0c40e09fbd8034e3c03fa0ae5e0300d1f74e3318e9f891c1ad0fe548

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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