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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20561

Philippine Army VS Tuloy

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 07:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.09%
Draw
17.85%
Away
54.06%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.3218
Log loss
0.6151

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
d2759518f444a40c160fefe8e9089997fe5f706246538627755c3305998afaf7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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