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Frozen pre-match forecast · #205547

Omonia Aradippou VS Apoel Nicosia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.42%
Draw
26.07%
Away
48.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3977
Log loss
0.7234

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
0e0f521b2a29c415bf15642cb09a0c74422e86b193c08af66550e4e394fdbc06

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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