Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #205546

Como W VS AC Milan W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.57%
Draw
27.75%
Away
37.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6471
Log loss
1.0622

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
5ec483ae0542fd9ee4ec1b6ca3619d550d0cbe3c54967fdc4b8de756aed5ac6c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →