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Frozen pre-match forecast · #205531

Dubočica VS FK Vozdovac

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.08%
Draw
28.12%
Away
38.79%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7766
Log loss
1.2686

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
a08f7b8ef6ab0acf1cbf80a8064b4c8110eee244820631e7743f35d62a5d119e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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