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Frozen pre-match forecast · #205470

Anguiano VS Vianés

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.39%
Draw
21.69%
Away
14.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2033
Log loss
0.4559

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
f751a2c2e0a2255ff0c897efdf37d612ed617656aef09430b95be4a0be517824

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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