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Frozen pre-match forecast · #205356

Dynamo Abomey VS ASVO

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.78%
Draw
30.94%
Away
29.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7209
Log loss
1.1731

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
980ab834ae987a756049d185d4715c726d77cce8418232fe474e1901bfd0b3ba

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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