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Frozen pre-match forecast · #205304

Hammarby Talang VS Gefle IF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.92%
Draw
22.20%
Away
19.88%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0267
Log loss
1.6155

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
63472aff171ff2a86171a10893739c1e207ce0cbfff2c5a9ff649553f7ed26d0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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