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Frozen pre-match forecast · #205281

Mouloudia Oujda VS Chabab Atl. Khenifra

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.67%
Draw
26.57%
Away
24.76%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3954
Log loss
0.7201

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
d8745a4101ad5dd588a849b745fce75a5e092e35cec0fb7614fd52176102545d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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