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Frozen pre-match forecast · #205265

West Ham W VS Liverpool W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.41%
Draw
24.49%
Away
51.10%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8925
Log loss
1.4102

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
2149e323343e817511ff6a87d70f79b1af46d3439374a4a9be541457e1f4b6bf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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