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Frozen pre-match forecast · #205230

Albinoleffe U20 VS Parma U20

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
9.32%
Draw
14.84%
Away
75.85%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.0891
Log loss
0.2765

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
be96315c8d24e13080871e180df45d30489c77d3cca8a0241580be852e425160

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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