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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20517

KAC Soccer VS Yapei

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.56%
Draw
26.23%
Away
32.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7011
Log loss
1.1329

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
1e26f016d866d3005a032c8774601dd51c8a2bdf16031c9c27398e167c7e9170

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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