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Frozen pre-match forecast · #205111

HO Kalken VS RFC Wetteren

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.79%
Draw
23.79%
Away
39.42%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6115
Log loss
0.9999

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
4da3881e137d97f4cbbdd17c1a942e273a2922d18996d5792c066808dd3f272b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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