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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20502

FK Sarajevo VS Sloga Doboj

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.39%
Draw
24.14%
Away
17.47%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2619
Log loss
0.5380

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
20431d41054db5dac5800edf3327030160137e1a88a6258816276cb874be57cb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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