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Frozen pre-match forecast · #204375

Radomiak Radom VS Slask Wroclaw

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.71%
Draw
24.00%
Away
33.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4966
Log loss
0.8507

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
1303b3e6b5b9d0402a429b2205b96688a7270907a052a1bdda472a63b88a1223

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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